@FantasyEverythingHub
The math is terrifying: China is reportedly building more J-20s in ONE year (100+) than the total number of combat-ready F-22s the US has in its entire inventory. 
The Big Question: In a conflict over Taiwan, if the US runs out of missiles before China runs out of jets, what happens next? 
A. The US withdraws to save the fleet. 
B. The US relies on AI Drones (CCAs) to fill the gap. 

這個數字很嚇人：中國據稱一年生產的殲-20（100 多架），已經超過了美國現役、具備戰斗力的 F-22 總數。
核心問題：如果在臺海沖突中，美國的導彈先用完，而中國的戰機還沒用完，會發生什么？
A. 美國為保全艦隊而選擇撤退。  
B. 美國依靠 AI 無人機（CCA 協同作戰飛機）來填補空缺。

@violetquinnlaw
China has much better drones than usa. it makes no sense to think the usa would have the drone advantage off the shore of China. havent you seen the ukraine war? both sides use Chinese drones 
i think that if the usa has a war in taiwan, the usa would lose its fleet 
they only have 144 operational f22 btw never even got to their 188. also the domestic version of P15 when fired at supersonic speeds has a range of 300kms
the NGAD dosent exist yet, the first test flights are planed for 2028 and its not planed to have a operational platform in service till 2030
AFAIK China is the only ones with a functioning wingman system atm

中國的無人機比美國強得多。認為美國能在中國近海擁有無人機優勢根本說不通。沒看到俄烏戰爭嗎？雙方用的都是中國無人機。
我認為如果美國在臺灣（地區）開戰，美國會失去它的艦隊。
順便一提，美國只有144架可用的F?22，連原計劃的188架都沒達到。而且PL?15的國產版本在超音速條件下發射，射程可達300公里。
NGAD目前還不存在，首次試飛計劃在2028年，也不打算在2030年前形成作戰能力。
據我所知，目前只有中國擁有真正可用的“僚機”系統。


@johnlim3208
All these Bullshit aside, the actual problem is the US military complex has been Scamming the US military blind.
Just compare the cost of a F35 to that of a J35 you will know.

撇開這些胡扯不談，真正的問題在于美國軍工復合體一直在把美國軍方當冤大頭宰。
只要對比一下 F-35 和 J-35 的成本，就一目了然。


@bclso
Where are the F-47s?  I only see J-36s, J-50s, and squads of drones in China.

F-47在哪兒？我只在中國看到J-36、J-50，以及無人機編隊。


@LawasSarawak
USA has the best drone DJI

美國擁有最好的無人機——大疆。


@Bill-e5m8r
Thinking China is far behind is laughable.

認為中國遠遠落后簡直可笑。


@RichChin-cz9ui
i'd worry more about China rendering all of our satellites mute

我更擔心的是中國會讓我們所有的衛星都失去通信能力。


@8888kmw
China is already flying the 6th gen prototype while NGAD is still on a ppt. China’s industrial might can out produce US drones.

中國已經在試飛第六代戰機原型，而NGAD還停留在PPT階段。中國的工業實力可以在無人機產量上壓倒美國。


@johnyesford2199
The J20 is not the equivelent of the NGAD, it is on the same level as the F-22 and F-35, and has significant drawbacks even if the latest engine meets its claimed specs.

殲-20并不等同于NGAD，其水平大致相當于F-22和F-35。即便最新發動機真的達到了宣稱的性能指標，它仍然存在明顯的短板。


@LawasSarawak
USA only invade small and weak countries, F-22 is especially suited to this role, plus their anti-weather balloon role

美國只會入侵弱小國家，F?22尤其適合干這種活，外加它們的“反氣象氣球”角色。


@MrRobertX70
No, the F20s are true air superiority fighters capable of taking on anything currently being fielded. The problem is that there's simply too few of them and there's no infrastructure in place to build more.

不，F20是真正的制空戰斗機，能夠對付目前服役的任何機型。問題在于數量實在太少，而且也沒有相應的基礎設施來繼續生產。


@rodman7224
The CCA arguement doesn’t work in Americas favor because China is developing CCA wingmen too

CCA這個論點對美國并不有利，因為中國也在研發CCA僚機。 （注： Collaborative Combat Aircraft，協同作戰飛機/無人僚機）


@faiho2684
What is the function of the 2nd officer in the 2 seater J-20S?

雙座版 J-20S 中第二名機組人員的職能是什么？


@foobar5477
They forgot to mention the j10's 1 F35 cost about 4/5 J10, they are not stealth but can cause a heck of pain, just like the sherman tanks were to the tiger/panzer in ww2. J10 they can mass produce and are cheap as borshe. making the american waste missiles to hunt them down. Also note the J10 took down the rafallel which is suppose to be the gems of europe.

他們忘了提到殲-10：一架F-35的成本大約相當于4到5架殲-10。殲-10雖然不是隱身戰機，但能造成不小的麻煩，就像二戰中謝爾曼坦克之于虎式/豹式坦克一樣。殲-10可以大規模生產，價格便宜得要命，迫使美國浪費導彈去獵殺它們。另一個值得注意的是，殲-10還擊落過“陣風”戰機，而陣風被認為是歐洲的王牌。


@markmahan38
The NGAD is already behind. The J 20 is already doing what the NGAD is supposed to do. And it is happening in real life and not on the drawing board. So we have a concept for the proposed NGAD and a working system of the J 20. Also the J 20 does not just have frontal stealth, but also stealth from look down aspect.

NGAD 已經落后了。殲-20 已經在做 NGAD 本該做的事，而且是在現實中，而不是停留在圖紙上。所以現在的情況是：NGAD 只有概念，而殲-20 已經是成熟可用的體系。另外，殲-20 不僅具備正面隱身能力，在俯視角度下同樣具備隱身性能。


@rnwaterpurification1030
True. ??. China has effectively beat the evil empire USA but the West will say China copied the J35, j50 n J20.

沒錯。 中國實際上已經擊敗了邪惡帝國美國，但西方會說中國抄襲了 J-35、J-50 和 J-20。


@bin-siewlim2191
How about missiles targeting the tankers?

那用導彈瞄準加油機呢？


@MrRobertX70
It's truly amazing what China achieved. When you considered what they were flying in 2001, you could not have guessed that in 25 short years they would be flying some of the best fighters in the world. And they have already shown that they have what it takes to go from 5th to 6th gen faster than the west can. They now have the capacity to manufacture these jets at a rate that the west can't match. If China continues on its present course, it will graduate from being a peer adversary to something more.

中國取得的成就確實令人驚嘆。回想他們在2001年還在飛什么樣的飛機，你很難想象僅僅25年后，他們就能裝備上世界頂尖水平的戰斗機。而且他們已經證明，從五代機邁向六代機的速度比西方更快。如今，中國具備了西方難以匹敵的戰機量產能力。如果中國繼續沿著目前的軌道前進，它將不再只是一個勢均力敵的對手，而會成為更強大的存在。


@LawasSarawak
USA relied not of hardware but software aka PPT

美國依靠的不是硬件，而是軟件，也就是PPT。


@chongyeeyap9586
China is way ahead of the USA. What you can do, China can do better

中國已經大幅領先美國。你能做的，中國都能做得更好。


@friendly1huda7
Why are u telling the secrets of US future plan? Don't you know that China is listening And will catch up with the US at a tremendous pace very soon.

你為什么要泄露美國未來計劃的機密？難道你不知道中國正在監聽，并且很快就會以驚人的速度追趕上美國嗎？


@douyu5472
In terms of air force hardware, Chinese fighter jets already have a comprehensive advantage over the United States. The J?20’s radar, air?to?air missiles, and electronic warfare capabilities are said to be 10–20 years ahead of the U.S. The J?20S can command 4–5 fifth? or sixth?generation AI unmanned combat aircraft in operations, while the U.S. has not yet fielded a fifth?generation unmanned fighter. This shows that China is at least five years ahead of the U.S. in AI, while the U.S. is still at the PowerPoint stage.
The most advanced U.S. missile, the AIM?260, is a next?generation air?to?air missile that won’t be ready until at least 2030, and its performance is roughly comparable to the PL?15—meaning U.S. air?to?air missiles lag China by 20 years. China’s next?generation aircraft include the J?36 and J?50, with the J?50 designed for carrier operations and a strike range of 2,000 km. China is also developing space?to?air combat aircraft capable of operating in space to attack satellites, as well as suborbital bombers that could strike anywhere in the world within two hours.
China is the world’s largest producer of drones; the U.S. has no chance competing with China in drones, whether in quality or quantity. The U.S. leads China by 5–10 years in semiconductors, but mainly in PCs and smartphones. In military supercomputers, chips, and quantum radar, China is at a world?leading level and not inferior to the U.S. at all. China’s air force advantage over the U.S. is not just the J?20, but the performance of all its fighters. The only areas where the U.S. leads China are bombers, transport aircraft, and helicopters.

空軍硬件方面中國戰斗機已經完全對美國碾壓。
J20雷達，空空導彈，電子對抗領先美國10~20年。J20S可以指揮4~5架5代，6代AI無人戰斗機進行作戰，美國還沒有5代無人戰斗機服役。
這說明中國在AI方面已經領先美國至少5年，美國還在PPT呢。
美國最先進的AIM260那是下一代空空導彈，至少要到2030年才能研制成功，其性能和PL15差不多，空空導彈落后中國20年。
中國下一代飛機是J36，J50.其中J50是要上航母的，打擊范圍是2000公里。
中國還有研制中的空天戰機，可以穿梭于太空打擊衛星。亞軌道轟炸機，2小時內打遍全球。
中國是全球無人機第一大生產國，美國想在無人機和中國拼根本沒有勝算，無論質量和數量完勝美國。
美國在半導體方面領先5~10年，那只是在PC和手機方面。在軍工超級計算機，芯片，量子雷達上，中國都是世界領先級別的，完全不在美國之下。
中國空軍對美國空軍的優勢不止是J20一種，而是所有戰斗機性能。美國領先中國的僅僅是轟炸機，運輸機，直升機


@enzhus
Have you heard dual pilots J-20S with GJ-11?  Do you think USA can produce more drones than China?

你聽說過雙座的 J-20S 搭配 GJ-11 嗎？你覺得美國能生產比中國更多的無人機嗎？


@LawasSarawak
Stealth of the bygone era, Hello China's 6th gen fighter

過時的隱身技術，向中國的第六代戰機問好。


@johnpereztwo6059
300 units per year 

每年300架


@johnseah5678
As if China cannot build and deploy 5 times more CCA wingmen than USA that are just as lethal.
For every CCA that the US Military-Industrial-Complex builds, China will build 5 for one-tenth of the cost per unit.

好像中國就不能建造和部署數量是美國五倍、同樣致命的 CCA 無人僚機似的。
美國軍工復合體每造 1 架 CCA，中國就能造 5 架，而且單機成本只有它的十分之一。


@albertmagician8613
Within two years the J20 will be superior to the F22 extrapolating the progress made thus far.

按迄今取得的進展推算，兩年內殲-20將優于F-22。


@MrRobertX70
Within five years, China will have more 6th gen fighters than the west has 5th.

五年之內，中國的六代機數量將超過西方的五代機。


@albertmagician8613
The USA cannot win based on ai. USA lost the math, electronics and industrial race, due to neglect of its education system. The talk of China is this and that years behind in this and that area is irrelevant and mostly wrong. The human capital is a generation behind even if the policy were changed this day. Progress in this area cannot be accelerated. The progress in humanoid robots in one year as shown in the New Year Festival destroys any illusion that the USA will be come ahead in the area of AI.

美國不可能靠人工智能取勝。由于長期忽視教育體系，美國在數學、電子和工業領域的競爭中已經敗下陣來。
所謂“中國在這個領域、那個領域落后多少年”的說法既無關緊要，也大多是錯誤的。即便從今天起改變政策，人力資本也已經落后一整代，這種差距無法被加速彌補。
春節期間展示的人形機器人在一年內取得的進展，已經徹底擊碎了美國將在人工智能領域領先的任何幻想。


@pheejl7534
Not just in human capital, but in human capital CAPACITY as well.
China produces 5,000,000 university STEM graduates per year, whereas the US produces 500,000. That's a ratio of 10:1. The US won’t be able to keep up. Very soon China will catch up and overtake.

不僅是人力資本本身，更是人力資本的規模。

中國每年培養約500萬名大學STEM畢業生，而美國只有約50萬，比例是10比1。美國將難以跟上，用不了多久，中國就會追上并實現超越。


@VeronicaChia
Frankly...who gives a fuck with how you Americans view and think of us! We're only concern with our own progress and consistency, never how you snobbish Americans view and think about us!

說實話……誰他媽在乎你們美國人怎么看、怎么想我們！我們只關心自身的進步和持續發展，從不在乎你們這些自以為是的美國人如何評價我們。


@mnaseersdca
not quiet total self-sufficiency  ..they are still behind in high-end semiconductors (the backbone of technology) but they are catching up.

還談不上完全自給自足……在高端半導體（技術的基石）方面仍然落后，但正在追趕。


@johnyesford2199
The canards and the lack of thrust vectoring make for significant liabilities on both maneuverability and stealth.

鴨式前翼以及缺乏推力矢量，使其在機動性和隱身性兩方面都形成了明顯短板。


@LawasSarawak
USA can always resort to use Nuclear weapon like Russia did, the loser's last resort.

美國總可以像俄羅斯那樣動用核武器，這是失敗者的最后手段。


@mikeshen9293
Again, you’re assuming: Chinese pilots not as good as American. F 22 is better than J 20. That is very comforting. ! The reality can be completely wrong!

你又在假設：中國飛行員不如美國飛行員，F-22 比 J-20 更強。這種想法確實讓人很有安全感。（笑哭）！但現實可能完全相反。


@MrRobertX70
Umm, yeah just keep believing and hoping - whatever makes you sleep better at night.

嗯，對啊，繼續相信、繼續祈禱吧——只要能讓你晚上睡得更踏實就行。


@Mr-hn2bp
You are a joker. J20 is way superior to F22 in stealthiness, speed, radar detection range and longer range missiles and zaps F22 hundreds of kms apart.

你就是個小丑。殲-20在隱身性、速度、雷達探測距離以及遠程導彈方面都遠勝F-22，能在相隔數百公里的距離上就把F-22直接擊落。


@MrRobertX70
No, the J20 is not superior to the F22. But when you consider that soon there will be ten J20s for one F22, small differences in performance will mean nothing.

不，殲-20并不比F-22更強。但考慮到很快就會出現一架F-22對上十架殲-20的局面，性能上的細微差別將毫無意義。


@Mr-hn2bp
?? @MrRobertX70 You are so wrong. F22 is a museum piece. Didn't you read the report of Elon Musk?

@MrRobertX70 你完全錯了。F-22已經成了博物館里的展品。你沒讀過埃隆·馬斯克的報告嗎？


@MrRobertX70
 @Mr-hn2bp  Elon Musk, the military aircraft expert? No, I must have missed that gem.

@Mr-hn2bp  埃隆·馬斯克，軍事飛機專家？不，我一定是錯過了這等“高論”。


@Mr-hn2bp
? @MrRobertX70 His DOGE  team revealed that American flight engines chested on specifications especially thrust/weight ratio.

@MrRobertX70 他的 DOGE （注：埃隆的政府開支削減計劃） 團隊披露稱，美國航空發動機在技術指標上造假，尤其是在推重比方面。


@jjl4381
5:1 ratio ?? BS!!

5:1 的交換比？？扯淡！！


@DesmondJyrwa-n2w
At best it will be a 3:1 ratio.

充其量也就能達到3比1的比例。


@jjl4381
? @DesmondJyrwa-n2w don't think so...

@DesmondJyrwa-n2w 我不這么認為……


@tonysu8860
Lots of half truths in this video. Biggest one if expert analysts are to believed is that the WS-15 now be installed in not the J-20 might be able to approach the general neighborhood of American aircraft but perform their nlt for a short time before needing a major overhaul, likely requiring replacement.
No one should seriously believe the J-20 would still be flying in large numbers after the first week of a conflict.

這個視頻里充斥著不少半真半假的說法。最大的問題在于，如果可信的專家分析屬實，那么即便WS-15已經裝機，J-20在性能上也許能接近美軍戰機的大致水平，但只能維持很短時間，隨后就需要大修，很可能還得更換發動機。
沒人會真的相信，在沖突爆發一周之后，J-20還能以大規模數量繼續投入飛行。


@jotai99
The American fighter pilots gone to chasing woman after making so much money

美國的戰斗機飛行員賺了那么多錢之后，都跑去追女人了。


@Liveforfood9394
That's why the U.S lost the war in Vietnam!
Vietnamese fought for the country and the American fought to get paid!

這就是美國在越南戰爭中失敗的原因！
越南人是為國家而戰，而美軍是為了拿薪水而戰！


@matt-gu9oq
All easy picking. Nothing China built will be good enough. Has China ever built anything that we should be in awe?? NADA!!!

全都是送菜。中國造的東西沒有一樣夠格。中國什么時候造出過值得我們驚嘆的東西嗎？沒有！！！


@LawasSarawak
by the way F-22 or F-35 or the PPT ngad , will not run with out Chinese component - rare earth

順便一提，F?22、F?35，甚至PPT里的NGAD，沒有中國的稀土部件都無法運轉。


@LawasSarawak
like that unable to launch stealth fighter jet aircracft carrier called Ford, LOL, USA's EMAL is junk

就像那艘叫“福特”的航母，連隱身戰機都彈射不出去，笑死。美國的 EMAL （注：電磁彈射） 就是垃圾。


@KhoeunTeuk-v8q
Don't we get america got f fifteen sixteen

難道我們不知道美國有F-15和F-16嗎？


@LawasSarawak
40 year old junk

四十年的老舊垃圾